厄瓜多尔地震柱的构造与地震和火山的预测研究 The Structure of Ecuador Seismic Cone and the Prediction Research of Earthquakes and Volcanoes 全文下载: PDF(5369KB) HTML XML PP.292-306 DOI: 10.12677/OJNS.2016.43035 下载量: 116 浏览量: 494 科研立项经费支持 作者: 陈立军 ：湖南省地震局，湖南 长沙 关键词: 地震地热说 ； 地震柱 ； 壳下地震 ； 壳内强震 ； 火山 ； 厄瓜多尔 ； Seismo-Geothermics Theory ； Seismic Cone ； Subcrustal Earthquake ； Intracrustal Strong Earthquake ； Volcano ； Ecuador 摘要: 按照地震地热说关于壳内强震与火山预测的方法，本文采用北加利福利亚地震数据中心的ANSS地震目录，Smithsonian Institution的GVP火山资料，对厄瓜多尔地震柱的地震活动与地震柱构造进行广泛研究，初步认为研究区内的地震柱构造结构表现为一种左手的手型结构，深源地震活动的韵律致使手型结构一张一弛，从而控制着地震柱的影响区内壳内强震与火山活动，火山喷发释放储能层的大量热能，壳内强震则力图疏通南美洲西北部的海沟，以保持手型结构活动的自由度。由于深源地震活动比地震柱构造影响区内的活动提前若干年，有足够的时间让人们做好心理准备。工作做好了，该地震柱内壳内强震与火山活动的预测便是可能的。厄瓜多尔地震柱构造虽然没有高精度的地震目录，但是构造结构单一，强震与火山活动的目标明确，也有某些成功预测的经验，因而具有优越的地震研究环境，值得人们关注。 According to the Seismo-Geothermics theory about methods of intracrustal strong earthquake and volcano prediction, the ANSS earthquake catalogue from the Northern California earthquake data center and the GVP volcano data from the Smithsonian Institution, and extensive study of the seismic activities and the seismic cone structure in the Ecuador seismic cone, the author of this paper preliminarily thinks that the Ecuador seismic cone represents a left-hand structure, which the alternate tension with relaxation caused by deep seismic activity rhythm controls the intracrustal strong earthquakes and volcano activities in the earthquake affected area of the seismic cone. The volcano activities release the large heat energy of heat storage layer and the intracrustal strong earthquakes are trying to clear the trench in northwestern South America to keep the freedom of activity of hand type structure. Because deep seismic activity is several years earlier than the intracrustal earthquake activities of cone affected area, there is enough time for people to prepare, which allows the prediction of strong earthquake and volcanic activity in the crust in the seismic cone possible. Although there is no high precision earthquake catalogue in the Ecuador seismic cone, it has a single structure and clear aims of strong earthquakes and volcanic activities, and a successful prediction example. So it is a superior earthquake research environment, and is worth our attention. 文章引用: 陈立军. 厄瓜多尔地震柱的构造与地震和火山的预测研究 . 自然科学, 2016, 4(3): 292-306. http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/OJNS.2016.43035
网址： http://www.hanspub.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?paperID=17878 AG Vol. 6 No. 3 (June 2016) 西北太平洋滨海地区的地震活动与地震柱构造 Seismic Activity and Seismic Cone Structures in the Coastal Area of the Northwest Pacific Ocean 全文下载: PDF(21882KB) PP.214-238 DOI: 10.12677/AG.2016.63024 下载量: 14 浏览量: 97 科研立项经费支持 作者: 陈立军 ：湖南省地震局，湖南 长沙 关键词: 地震地热说 ； 地震柱 ； 壳下地震 ； 壳内强震 ； 火山 ； 西北太平洋 ； Seismo-Geothermics Theory ； Seismic Cone ； Subcrustal Earthquake ； Intracrustal Strong Earthquake ； Volcano ； The Northwest Pacific Ocean 摘要: 按照地震地热说关于壳内强震与火山预测的方法，本文采用北加利福利亚地震数据中心的ANSS地震目录和日本气象厅的震源月报，对西北太平洋滨海地区的地震活动与地震柱构造进行广泛研究，通过两套地震目录的对比，进一步印证和确立了研究区内的地震柱构造结构，表现为一种稳定的框架结构，仔细鉴别了鄂霍茨克地震柱、日本地震柱和台湾及琉球地震柱的多边形区域，并对中国珲春地震柱构造做出特别的论证，进而列举了若干应用研究的例子，包括2011年日本9级地震、2016年日本熊本7.3级地震、1995年日本阪神6.8级地震，台湾地震柱的活动性，以及相关地区的火山活动的态势与成因，台湾地震与九州地震的关系，等等，做出了全面的分析，同时介绍了一些预测的方法，对于研究区内的地震预测和火山预测研究都是有意义的，或许对全球也有用。地震地热说的原理与方法，以及地震柱构造的概念，提出多年了，作者一直致力于壳内强震与火山活动的预测思路研究，希望能对人类的防灾事业有所贡献。 According to the Seismo-Geothermics theory about methods of intracrustal strong earthquake and volcano prediction, by comparing the ANSS earthquake catalogue from the Northern California earthquake data center and the earthquake monthly reports from Japan Meteorological Agency, and extensive study of the seismic activities and the seismic cone structures in the coastal area of the Northwest Pacific Ocean, the author of this paper further confirms that the seismic cone structure in that area is a stable frame structure. This paper also identifies carefully the polygon regions of Okhotsk seismic cone, Japan seismic cone and Taiwan Ryukyu seismic cone, makes a special demonstration of the Hunchun seismic cone, China, and then studies the situations and causes of Japan earthquake Mw9.0 in 2011, Kumamoto earthquake Mj7.3 in 2016, Hanshin earth-quake Ms6.8 in 1995, the activities of Taiwan seismic cone, and volcano activities in related regions, and the relationship of seismic activities between Taiwan and Ryukyu. At the same time, this paper introduces some prediction methods of earthquakes and volcanoes, which are meaningful for the study area, and maybe for whole of the Earth. The principle and methods of seismo- geothermics theory, and the concept of seismic cone structure have been put forward for many years by the author, who has been committed to the ideas of prediction research of intracrustal strong earthquakes and volcanic activities, and hopes to be able to contribute to the disaster prevention for human being. 文章引用: 陈立军. 西北太平洋滨海地区的地震活动与地震柱构造 . 地球科学前沿, 2016, 6(3): 214-238. http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/AG.2016.63024
标签: 壳下地震
