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[转载]China’s Grand Strategy-RAND REPORT
lixyong 2020-8-3 12:44
China’s Grand Strategy-Trends, Trajectories, and Long-Term Competition Andrew Scobell, Edmund J. Burke, Cortez A. Cooper III, Sale Lilly, Chad J. R. Ohlandt, Eric Warner, J.D. Williams 简 介: 探索美国和中国之间的长期竞争可能会带来什么。到 2050 年,这份报告的作者确定并描述了中国的大战略,国家战略 ( 外交、经济、科技、和军事事务 ) ,并评估了中国在接下来的 30 年里实施这些方面的(战略)成功程度。 问 题: •到 2050 年,中国在实现其宏伟战略目标方面会有多成功 ? 这些目标基于国家层面的外交、经济、科学和技术等领域的战略军事事务。 •美国将会怎样 ? 到 2050 年,中美关系会怎么样 ? 主要结论: 分析的四种情形中的任何一种——胜利的中国,崛起的中国,停滞的中国,或者中国可能在 30 年后崩溃 •一个胜利的中国是最不可能的,因为这样的结果几乎没有犯错的余地从现在到 2050 年没有任何重大危机或严重挫折。 •一个内爆的中国不太可能,因为迄今为止,中国领导人已经证明了组织能力善于应对危机,善于适应和调整变化的条件。 •到 2050 年,中国很可能会经历一些成功和失败的混合,而且是最多的可能出现的情况是,中国崛起或停滞不前。在前一种情况下,中国将在很大程度上成功地实现其长期目标,而在后一种情况下,中国将面临在实施其大战略的过程中,大部分都不会成功。 胜利的中国,崛起的中国,停滞的中国,或者中国可能在 30 年后崩溃这四种情况可能产生美国三种潜在轨迹中的任何一种中美关系 : 平行合作伙伴、相互碰撞的竞争对手或方向分歧 •平行伙伴轨迹是美国现状的延续 2018 年中美关系。这这种轨迹最有可能出现在中国停滞不前、中国可能崛起的情况下。 •竞争对手的碰撞轨迹最有可能在一个胜利的中国场景中表现出来北京变得更加自信和果断。 •在中国内爆的情况下,偏离方向的轨迹最有可能发生,因为北京将专注于日益增多的国内问题。 建 议: •可能的情况需要更多的关注提高联合部队的能力和准备使用更长的物流尾部操作。对美国陆军来说,这意味着要努力优化关键部队以及可用的空运和海运能力,以使士兵迅速进入战斗或提前到达热点战斗爆发了。 •因为中国很可能将有能力在广阔的中东地区的所有冲突领域展开竞争。到本世纪 30 年代中期,作为联合部队的一部分,美国陆军将需要有能力做出反应在各种争论点上的危机或意外事件。在铁丝网里面一场危机或冲突的开始将需要轻型和机动的前沿力量的结合远征军和可互操作的盟军。 •美国陆军和盟军也必须发展和训练强化常规的概念扩大威慑,防止竞争变成冲突。 •打造快速高效、反应灵敏、韧性强的海空军力量压制中国迅速发展的侦察打击系统,以及特殊的特别行动这将在很大程度上决定中国领导层对风险的厌恶程度在考虑用军事手段解决地区争端时。
个人分类: 读书思考|0 个评论
Annual Report of the American Historical Association for the
黄安年 2019-2-26 17:37
Annual Report of the American Historical Association for the Year 1920 【Charles D. Walcott 编 《 美国历史协会 1920 年度报告 》 1925 年版】 【黄安年个人藏书书目(美国问题英文部分编号 304 ) 黄安年文 黄安年的博客 / 2019 年 2 月 26 日 发布(第 21044 篇) 自2019年起,笔者将通过博客陆续发布个人收藏的全部图书书目,目前先发布美国问题英文书目,已经超过303本,每本单独编号,不分出版时间先后与图书类别。 这里发布的是 Charles D. Walcott 编 Annual Report of the American Historical Association for the Year 1920( 《 美国历史协会 1920 年度报告 》 ),Washington Government Printing Office, 1925 年版,333页。 照片17张拍自该书 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5, 6, 7 , 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17,
个人分类: 个人藏书书目|1255 次阅读|0 个评论
Report of the Warren Commission on the Assassination of Pres
黄安年 2019-2-8 11:45
Report of the Warren Commission on the Assassination of President Kennedy 【Harrison E.Salisbury 介绍 《 沃伦委员会关于肯尼迪总统遇刺报告 》 1964 年版 】 【黄安年个人藏书书目(美国问题英文部分编号 166 )】 黄安年文 黄安年的博客 / 2019 年 2 月 08 日 发布(第 20864 篇) 自2019年起,笔者将通过博客陆续发布个人收藏的全部图书书目,目前先发布美国问题英文书目,已经超过164本,每本单独编号,不分出版时间先后与图书类别。 这里发布的是 Harrison E.Salisbury 介绍 Report of the Warren Commission on the Assassination of President Kennedy ( 《 沃伦委员会关于肯尼迪总统遇刺报告 》) 1964 年版,726页。 照片19张拍自该书 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5, 6, 7 , 8 , 9 , 10. 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16. 17, 18, 19
个人分类: 个人藏书书目|1296 次阅读|0 个评论
Report of the National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorder
黄安年 2019-2-8 07:34
Report of the National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders 【Tom Wicker of New York Time(special Introduction) 《 国家公民无序咨询委员会的报告 》 1968 年版 】 【黄安年个人藏书书目(美国问题英文部分编号 163 )】 黄安年文 黄安年的博客 / 2019 年 2 月 08 日 发布(第 20859 篇) 自2019年起,笔者将通过博客陆续发布个人收藏的全部图书书目,目前先发布美国问题英文书目,已经超过159本,每本单独编号,不分出版时间先后与图书类别。 这里发布的是 Tom Wicker of New York Time(special Introduction) 介绍 Report of the National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders ( 《 国家公民无序咨询委员会的报告 》 ) , New York Time Company 1968 年版,453页。 照片23张拍自该书 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5, 6, 7 , 8 , 9 , 10. 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23,
个人分类: 个人藏书书目|1425 次阅读|0 个评论
【直播】川普头像被画入猴子大便+川普被谷歌“黑”为白痴
atpinter 2018-12-19 10:51
【直播主题】 谷歌图片搜索“白痴”出川普头像? 谷歌中国——蜻蜓计划还继续? 谁把川普画到大便里? 科学和政治应该分开吗? 【直播时间】2018年12月22日周六下午一点十五分 【加入方式】将不会再通过qq群的电话,而是在“腾讯课堂”进行。请点击课程链接: https://ke.qq.com/course/359597?tuin=4b4a51f0 报名。谢谢。
841 次阅读|0 个评论
IOCCG report reading notes: 6. Ocean-Color Data Merging
haibaraxx 2016-3-9 03:19
Rewrite the report in my own words for better understanding (personal use). Chapter 1 Introduction Phytoplankton plays an important role in the global carbon cycle. It is responsible for approximately half of the global photosynthetic uptake of carbon (Field et al., 1998). Chl concentration, a proxy for phytoplankton biomass, can be detected remotely by satellite ocean-color sensors, thus making it possible to observe the Chl distribution on synoptic scale. In response to the importance of phytoplankton as well as the lack of comprehensive data, global ocean-color satellite missions, namely SeaWiFS, MERIS, MODIS-Aqua, POLDER-2/GLI, POLDER/PARASOL, VIIRS-NPP, S-GLI, VIIRS-NPOESS and Sentinel-3, all of which in polar-orbiting configuration, have been designed to acquire and produce high quality global ocean-color data. Q: What is the lifetime of each sensor? With the proliferation of global missions, the temporal and spatial coverage of Chl distributions are greatly expanded, while a single polar-orbiting ocean-color satellite does a poor job of sampling the ocean on short time scales due to the effects of clouds, inter-orbit gaps, sun glint or thick aerosols. # proliferate: to increase a lot and suddenly in number. Considering that phytoplankton populations can increase their biomass more than double in a single day under favorable circumstances, it is important to have a better coverage of Chl distributions in order to understand phytoplankton dynamics and their relationship with natural variability. An important way to improve the daily coverage of the global ocean is to combine or merge data from coincident multiple satellites (e.g. Gregg et al., 1998; Gregg and Woodward, 1998) Data merging is both technically and politically challenging because the ocean color sensors are very complex, with a very small signal relative to noise sources, and require a massive amount of effort to get high-quality observations. This report describes the basis for ocean-color data merging. Here data merging refers to the process of combing coincident data from more than one satellite sensor. The main goals are to improve temporal resolution, coverage and, to a lesser extent, improve accuracy. Note that data merging does not mean the construction of ocean-color time series. Antonie et al.(2005) and Gregg et al.(2002) have argued that time series construction requires that all sensors involved have similar atmospheric and bio-optical algorithms in order to avoid confusing trends with methodological differences. However, data merging does not require similar methods, but rather seeks to improve an overall data set where coincident observations occur. Chapter 2 Benefits of Merging The goal of data merging is to merge multi-instrument and multi-year observations of the oceans into consistent daily, global, high-resolution data records based on accurate and uniform calibration and validation over the lifetime of the missions. That is to say, the merger is a natural progression from multi-sensor data inter-comparisons, cross-validations and calibrations. Q: What are the differences between inter-comparisons, cross-validations and calibrations? The inter-comparisons, cross-validations and calibrations are aimed at identifying and eliminating sensor or algorithm-originated biases and trends (systematic errors) in data, which are impossible to detect solely by comparison with sparse in situ measurements. In other words, they bring multi-instrument time series to a consistent ocean-color baseline. Subsequently, the merger can: · increase the daily ocean-color global coverage, which facilitates enhanced spatial and temporal resolution of ocean processes; # facilitate: to make something possible or easier. · expand sampling rate for each location, thus reduce the random errors and improve the statistical confidence when extracting bio-optical parameters; · allow the data users to access the multi-sensor ocean-color data with a single access point instead of the data holdings among different space agencies; · provide consistent quality dataset for the users, which helps them to advance science and make educated decisions based on the dataset. Subsequent findings and operational applications derived from the multiple data sources is more convincing compared to those employing the data from only a single mission. A generic baseline for ocean-color merged products has 3 characteristics: · Daily global coverage. · High accuracy – consistent and seamless in space and time. · High spatial resolution. Q: What does binned datasets mean? Different applications of the user community have their specific requirements of data accuracy, spatial and temporal resolution, time series length, grid type, output products and operational data delivery. Q: What is the grid type? Therefore, data merge methodology have to match with the user's requirements (See Page 17, Table 2.2) . For earth system science, more observations with better signal to noise is of great importance in order to understand marine biogeochemical cycles. Chapter 3 Coincident Global Ocean-Color Missions # coincident: happening at the same time. Global missions as well as smaller scale missions Level-3 product are recommended for data merging. Level-3 is defined as products mapped onto an Earth projection, developed following standard guidelines described in IOCCG report4. # project: to cause a film, image, or light to appear on a screen or other surface: Laser images were projected onto a screen. Level-3 is the preference because: · it is easy to use. · it is available. · one the main advantages of merging is improved spatial coverage, which is inherently defined on an Earth grid. Q: do not understand! The Level-3 data product information for global missions that overlap in time with at least one other mission at some point during their lifetime are listed in Table 3.1 . A listing of non-overlapping global missions as well as all the smaller scale missions is provided in the Appendix . Further information can be obtained from http://www.ioccg.org/sensors_ioccg.html Chapter 4 Survey of Ocean-Color Data Merging Methods This chapter contains a list of data merging methodologies used in ocean-color research. These methodologies are all very different, however, they share some features in common: · all but one of the methods used Level-3 data and involved only Chl. · all methods are error-correcting in nature, and many are bias-correcting. Most of them are statistical methods. - Statistical Methods Random error-correcting: · Binning · Averaging · Error-weighted averaging Bias-correcting: · Subjective Analysis · Blended Analysis · Optimal Interpolation · Objective Analysis · Wavelet Analysis · Machine Learning Analysis - Bio-optical Methods · Spectral bio-ptical modelling - Numerical Model-Based Methods · Data assimilation into numerical models 4.1 Binning The binning method starts with Level-2 data and producing Level-3 data by placing within pre-defined bins. Although all data are treated equally, the Level-3 merged result will be biased in favor of data with the highest native Level-2 resolution. Q:do not understand! 4.2 Averaging $C_{ij}=\frac{\sum_s C_{ijs}}{\sum_s n_{ijs}}$ --Fomular 4.1 C stands for Chl from sensor s, n is the number of observations from sensor s, ij represents the Level-3 grid point and the summations are over the sensors. Note that any Level-3 product can use this formular by replacing itself with Cij. This method is simple, total objective, i.e., no sensor data are preferred over others, and computationally fast. If Level-3 grid locations are common among the different sensor products, the method is straightforward. If not, interpolation may be required. Q: do not understand! Also, uncorrected or unrecognized bias in the data can be propagated into the merged field and a poor quality data set can be produced.
个人分类: Ocean optics|2130 次阅读|0 个评论
如何撰写研究报告《Clarity in Technical Reporting》
热度 1 sunshinetx 2014-5-28 01:08
1965年美国航天局(NASA)S.Katzoff的小册子(Second edition, 共30页):《 Clarity in Technical Reporting 》 Clarity in Technical Reporting(USNASA,1965).pdf 注: 个人看完之后,很受用,特与大家分享。附册子 前言,供 大家参考。
个人分类: 学习交流|5589 次阅读|1 个评论
Scientific Repor 个人迁移模式多样性与群体聚集标度律涌现
bhwangustc 2013-9-23 10:14
个人迁移模式的多样性与 群体聚集标度律之涌现 阎小勇,韩筱璞,汪秉宏,周涛 揭示人类移动模式对于疫情蔓延、都市交通,和其余表现为空间性与人类旅行的社会经济动力学之理解至关重要。根据直接的志愿者旅行日志,我们阐明:个人层面上的位移分布并无标度性质,而群体聚集之位移分布遵从幂函数规律并有指数截断。如果给定总旅行成本的限制,则可以通过基于最大熵原理的人类旅行之混合性质解析预测这种聚集的标度律。这一理论的一个直接的推论是,一个单模运输的位移分布应当遵循指数规律,这也得到已知数据的支持证据。所以我们得到结论:旅行成本形成群体聚集层次上的位移分布。 Scientific Report Vol.3 No. 02678 (2013) Xiao-Yong Yan , Xiao-Pu Han , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou Diversity of individual mobility patterns and emergence of aggregated scaling laws Uncovering human mobility patterns is of fundamental importance to the understanding of epidemic spreading, urban transportation and other socioeconomic dynamics embodying spatiality and human travel. According to the direct travel diaries of volunteers, we show the absence of scaling properties in the displacement distribution at the individual level, while the aggregated displacement distribution follows a power law with an exponential cutoff. Given the constraint on total travelling cost, this aggregated scaling law can be analytically predicted by the mixture nature of human travel under the principle of maximum entropy. A direct corollary of such theory is that the displacement distribution of a single mode of transportation should follow an exponential law, which also gets supportive evidences in known data. We thus conclude that the travelling cost shapes the displacement distribution at the aggregated level. Scientic Report 论文下载: srep02678.pdf Scientic Report 论文support附件下载: srep02678-s1.pdf 期刊链接 http://www.nature.com/srep/2013/130918/srep02678/full/srep02678.html 中文介绍链接: http://blog.sciencenet.cn/home.php?mod=spaceuid=3075do=blogquickforward=1 id=726786 .
个人分类: 统计物理复杂系统研究进展|5720 次阅读|0 个评论
one day
SIMPLEDREAM 2013-1-18 14:23
one day, one presentation, one report, one program, one song
2840 次阅读|0 个评论
[转载]21st Century Education for Life and work
何毓琦 2012-12-31 22:29
(For new reader and those who request 好友请求 , please read my 公告栏 first) The National Reseaqrch council of the US National academies recently issued a report on "21st Century Education for Life and Work" which is most interesting in my opinion. I attach the summary of this report here for Science Net reader to view.See Education_for_Life_and_Work_report_brief.pdf
7231 次阅读|0 个评论
生物医学论文图表信息可以免费检索查阅(PUBMED数据库)
热度 1 xupeiyang 2012-12-17 14:48
PUBMED数据库有论文图表信息的检索浏览功能,这个功能在别的地方还很少看到的。科研人员应该充分利用这个技术方法,获取图表信息和全文。 检索策略实例: aids and therapy 检索平台 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/?term=aids+and+therapyreport=imagesdocsum Text availability 你需要什么样的文本? Abstract available 你需要文献摘要吗? Free full text available 你需要免费全文吗? Full text available 你需要文献全文吗? 论文图表信息,在检索平台上可以放大查看。 还可以查看论文摘要和全文 Results: 1 to 20 of 1245 1. Fig. 4. Estimated number of AIDS patients and deaths among adults and adolescents with AIDS (United States and dependent areas) 1985–2005.a. From: HIV epidemiology and the effects of antiviral therapy on long-term consequences. ▲ AIDS ; ◆ deaths. a Data have been adjusted for reporting delays . Thomas C. Quinn. AIDS . 2008 September;22(Suppl 3):S7-12. Citation Full text 2. Figure 1. Percent of AIDS Patients in ACTG 362 Self-Reporting Drug Use1 and Non-Adherence2 During Study Follow-up. From: Association of Ongoing Drug and Alcohol Use with Non-Adherence to Antiretroviral Therapy and Higher Risk of AIDS and Death: Results from ACTG 362. 1 Hard drug use: defined as reporting drug use within 30 days prior to entry or prior to any study visit. 2 Non-adherence: defined as missing any antiretroviral therapy within the past week prior to entry or in the past 2 days at any study visit. Susan E. COHN, et al. AIDS Care. 2011 June;23(6):775-785. Citation Full text 3. Figure 1. Comparison of AIDS survival between HAD cases and non-HAD controls.. From: Single Nucleotide Polymorphism in Gene Encoding Transcription Factor Prep1 Is Associated with HIV-1-Associated Dementia. ( A ) Kaplan Meier analysis for time from AIDS to death with start cART as censor (vertical lines), for both HAD cases (grey line) and non-HAD AIDS patients as controls (black line). ( B ) Kaplan Meier analysis for time from AIDS to death with start cART as censor (vertical lines) for the controls (black line) and for time from AIDS to HAD for the HAD cases (grey line). cART, combination antiretroviral therapy ; HAD, HIV-1-associated dementia. Sebastiaan M. Bol, et al. PLoS One. 2012;7(2):e30990. Citation Full text 4. Figure 1. From: Trends and determinants of Comprehensive HIV and AIDS knowledge among urban young women in Kenya. Urban young women 15-24 with Comprehensive HIV and AIDS knowledge in Kenya . Rhoune Ochako, et al. AIDS Res Ther. 2011;8:11-11. Citation Full text 5. Fig. (3). From: Strengthening Healthcare Capacity Through a Responsive, Country-Specific, Training Standard: The KITSO AIDS Training Program’s Sup-port of Botswana’s National Antiretroviral Therapy Rollout. AIDS clinical care fundamentals: Cumulative training numbers per profession, 2001-2006. Christine Bussmann, et al. Open AIDS J. 2008;2:10-16. Citation Full text 6. Figure 1. From: Media and education play a tremendous role in mounting AIDS awareness among married couples in Bangladesh. Increasing trend in proportion of peoples identified media (Radio and TV) as main source of AIDS information. Mohammad Shafiqur Rahman, et al. AIDS Res Ther. 2007;4:10-10. Citation Full text 7. Figure 4. Survival from HIV infection to AIDS and from AIDS to death.. From: HIV-Infected Former Plasma Donors in Rural Central China: From Infection to Survival Outcomes, 1985–2008. Kaplan-Meier plots showing survival from HIV infection to AIDS in former plasma donors with plasma donation window ≤2 years (Figure 4a, N = 15030) and from AIDS to death among the same cohort who were diagnosed with AIDS (N = 12242), stratified by whether or not on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART; Figure 4b). Zhihui Dou, et al. PLoS One. 2010;5(10):e13737. Citation Full text 8. Figure 2. From: HIV-1 mutational pathways under multidrug therapy . Frequency of common mutations . The percentage of therapies which developed mutation during therapy at the indicated location (top), and which had a preexisting mutation at the indicated location (bottom), by risk group. The patterns are consistent across the different risk groups. Locations are codons which were mutant at the start of 5% or more of the therapies, but which are not included on the International AIDS Society list of resistance mutations . Glenn Lawyer, et al. AIDS Res Ther. 2011;8:26-26. Citation Full text
个人分类: 信息检索|4373 次阅读|4 个评论
[转载]Michel Broué ’s report
xuming19984 2012-7-20 11:19
http://www.birs.ca/events/2011/5-day-workshops/11w5008/videos/watch/201103161030-Brou.mp4
个人分类: 网络课程|2459 次阅读|0 个评论
Quick report from American Society of Clinical Oncology 2012
bodizhang 2012-6-8 23:07
The idea of using immune system to treat cancer is not new, but stays in a concept level with little clinical progress for long. However, with the exciting clinical results of BMS’s ipilimumab in melanoma patients, immunotherapy receives more and more attention. In the 2012 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) annual conference, the Phase I/II results of BMS-936558 in metastatic Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) were presented, leading the immunotherapy into a new era. BMS-936558 is fully human mAb blocking the programmed death (PD-1) on activated T cells. The PD-1 receptor is an inhibitory T-cell receptor that limits the immune response after binding with its ligand PD-L1 and 2. By over-expressing PD-L1, tumor cells escape immune system monitor. In the Phase I/II trials, both efficacy and tolerability of the new anti-PD-1 mAb were tested. A total of 75 stage IV NSCLC patients who had received at least one systemic treatment were enrolled in the study. After 12 cycles of mAb treatments, 19 patients showed different level of response and the overall response rate is as high as 18%. More impressively, BMS-936558 achieved 36% overall response rate in squamous patients. Anti-PD-1 mAb has general acceptable toxicity, with grade 3-4 adverse events (AE) rate of 8%. The most common side effects include fatigue (17%) and nausea (11%). However, 2 patients died of treatment related pneumonitis. The results of PD-1 immunotherapy are one of the biggest achievements for NSCLC treatment in recent years, especially for the 2 nd and 3 rd line therapy. Traditional chemotherapy usually has a 5-7% response rate, which is 1/3 of what Anti-PD-1 achieved. This clearly shows the therapeutic potential of PD-1. Importantly, PD-1 seems to have better efficacy in squmaous patients whom have very limited drug choice. Meanwhile, PD-1 only has function when T cells are activated and in the inflammatory site. It has favorable side effects profile compared to CTLA-4 targets, which have much broader effects on T cell activity. The only concern physicians have are the 2 drug related peunomotitis death. It is still not clear that such severe toxicity is a general effects for all PD-1 target, or specific to Bristol’s antibody. BMY has already committed for further development and all these questions need to be answered in the follow-on trial. Roche and GSK also have their own anti-PD-1 products under early stage development for different indications. Roche’s “armed antibody” becomes the other shining star in this years’ ASCO. Trastuzumab-MCC-DM1 (T-DM1) is the antibody-drug conjugate consisting of Roche’s major product trastuzumab (Herceptin) linked to cytotoxin metransine (DM1). After binding with HER-2 receptors, T-DM1 is internalized and then delivers metansine specifically to tumor cells. During the plentary session on June 3rd, Dr. Blackwell reported the interim Phase III of T-DM1 in metastatic breast cancer patients. A total of 991 Her2+ patients who had been previously treated with Trastuzumab and Taxane were enrolled in the study. They received either T-DM1 or Tykerb/Xeloda (TX) combination therapy. T-DM1 successfully delayed tumor progression (PFS) by an average of 9.6 months, comparing to 6.4 month in TX combination. More importantly, T-DM1 significantly improves the overall survival rate. After 24 months of the study, 64% patients in T-DM1 arm remain alive, while the median survival of TX combination is only 23 months, which has already showed significant differences. On the safety side, T-DM1 is also well tolerated. The grade 3-5 side effects happen in 40.8% of patients, 17% lower compared to TX combination. This favorable safety profile may be due to the high targeted chemotherapy agent delivery. In the last a few years, there have been significant shifts towards next generation mAbs platform, antibody drug conjugates are one of them. Through collaboration and licensing, Roche, Abbott and Novartis all have their own technology platform and mAbs under clinical development. The success of T-DM1 will certainly become an “accelerator” to this technologies and we expect to see more clinical results in the near future.
2949 次阅读|0 个评论
发展中国家实验室生物安全状况堪忧
王汉森 2012-5-23 01:38
发展中国家很多实验室普遍存在生物安全性方面的缺陷,这些缺陷难免会造成病原体泄漏等生物安全危机,其影响可能会是全球性的。有关专家呼吁WHO等世界性组织牵头制定有关实验室安全的全球性标准。请看今天《自然》杂志发表的新闻述评。 Nature | News Biosafety concerns for labs in the developing world As report reveals lax standards in Asia-Pacific, researchers debate how to enforce rules. Ewen Callaway 22 May 2012 Biocontainment labs across the Asia-Pacific region all too often fail to live up to the term. An inspection of dozens of labs has found that nearly one-third of the biosafety hoods intended to protect workers from deadly pathogens did not work properly — an offence for which a Western lab could be shut down. In one facility, only a shower curtain enclosed a table on which the brains of rabid dogs were routinely dissected. Such deficiencies are symptomatic of a biosafety crisis in many of the laboratories that diagnose and study infectious agents in developing countries, say biorisk experts who attended a meeting at London’s Chatham House on 17May, where the results of the inspection were presented. The weaknesses could have repercussions around the globe if pathogens were released. “The strength of a chain is based on its weakest link, and developing countries are the weakest link,” says Teck-Mean Chua, former president of the Asia-Pacific Biosafety Association based in Singapore, which co-sponsored the anonymized laboratory inspection. Complaints of inadequate lab protocol in developing countries may not surprise many biologists, but they are attracting attention as scientists and research agencies in the West place increasing emphasis on biosafety. Discussions at the meeting skirted around the controversies surrounding the publication of research on mammal-transmissible forms of the H5N1 influenza virus. However, attendees did talk about how measures to protect lab workers and contain pathogens would affect research on diseases such as flu. In most Western countries, rules on biosafety — meant to safeguard lab workers against infection — and biosecurity, which protects the general public, became much stricter after 2001, when anthrax attacks in the United States raised the spectre of bioterrorism using laboratory-prepared pathogens. But stringent biosafety and biosecurity rules are unworkable in many developing countries, where researchers often need to handle infectious agents such as anthrax and plague to protect public health, but lack the infrastructure of the West, says Nigel Lightfoot, an associate fellow at the Centre on Global Health Security at Chatham House, who chaired last week’s meeting. “When you don’t have any electricity, the answer is not to build a very high-security laboratory,” he says. “You’ve got to move away from the costly bells-and-whistles solutions to what is practical.” Speakers suggested solutions such as small biocontainment boxes, for example, and also pointed out that pathogens that are endemic in a particular region present a lower biosecurity risk there than in Western laboratories. “We cannot stop them from working on things they need to for the health of their countries,” says Tim Trevan, executive director of the International Council for the Life Sciences, a non-governmental organization based in Arlington, Virginia, which is interested in biosafety and biosecurity in the Middle East and Africa. Lightfoot believes that “you’re going to have dual standards” to cover different areas. But having two sets of lab rules may not sit well with either side, says Nicoletta Previsani, who heads the biorisk-management team at the World Health Organization (WHO) in Geneva, Switzerland. Scientists in developing countries may feel that they are being left with less-than-safe labs, whereas those in richer countries could feel overburdened by regulations that others don’t have to follow. Some meeting attendees, including Chua, called on the WHO, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations in Rome and the World Organisation for Animal Health in Paris to take the lead in establishing global standards for lab safety and security. But Previsani says that such organizations cannot tell their member states how to operate their labs. Lightfoot adds that the WHO lacks the money and staff to act as a regulator. In January, the agency issued a five-year plan on laboratory biorisk management, in which it emphasized that it would be better placed in an organizational role, coordinating activities between stakeholders (see go.nature.com/xd9vdj ). Lightfoot argues that networks of non-governmental organizations and biosafety bodies ought to press developing nations to institute better lab standards. Donors could also help by paying more attention to the long-term sustainability of labs that they help to establish, adds Toby Leslie, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, who has trained lab workers in Afghanistan. Too often, he says, money is spent on infrastructure and equipment without considering whether the laboratories can be operated safely by knowledgeable staff for years to come. A planned national health laboratory in Kabul, for instance, will need long-term support for maintenance and training. “I can’t see a way that Afghanistan is going to be able to support it independently,” says Leslie. Nature 485 , Pages: 425 Date published: (24 May 2012) DOI: doi:10.1038/485425a http://www.nature.com/news/biosafety-concerns-for-labs-in-the-developing-world-1.10687
个人分类: 科技视窗|3637 次阅读|0 个评论
MIT Lincoln laboratory 2008 annual report
lcj2212916 2012-2-6 08:37
共44页。 网盘直接下载地址: http://www.ctdisk.com/file/4504618
2308 次阅读|0 个评论
MIT Lincoln laboratory 2007 annual report
lcj2212916 2012-2-6 08:10
共36页。 网盘直接下载地址: http://www.ctdisk.com/file/4504565
1834 次阅读|0 个评论
第一次赶report感想
sunnysong14 2012-1-7 19:40
不要急于求成,不要一步想弄懂所有的东西 听老师的话,认真看导师给的paper,不要乱搞其他的文章 赶在deadline前,着手开始写report
个人分类: 科研|2 次阅读|0 个评论
2011年年度科学网写博总结
waterlilyqd 2011-12-31 10:33
At the year-end, everyone is requiredtowrite an annual review report or to fill in the annualreview form.Allhave triedtolist the whole year'sachievements inthe most possibly beautiful language. Although busy all day but at the year-end, it seemsthereis nothingimportantto write or the visibility of what we have done isunobvious. On contrast, blogging on the sciencenet is quite different. In spitewe only spend a very small part of time on blogging here, the visibility is very high.That's the power of internet. In 2011I have writenabout 60 blogs with contents varying from translation to editing, from work to life,from seriouspaper writing and editing tolight-heartedscenery and jokes.Only onearticle was recommended by the sciencenet editor (to be recommmeded is not the purpose of blogging), andseveral articles were shared by other bloggers or webs, butthe blog has been read tens thousands of times. Blogging can beaway of relaxation fromfatiguing work, and it's also agood channel toshare our thought and experience with others. Usually the last dayof the year-end isthe time tomakeresolutions, so I also make a resolution on blogging sciencenet-- I'llcontinue blogging here in 2012, and writemost articles in English. If what I writecanprovide some help to the authors orthecolleages, then that's my wishes!
个人分类: 科技杂谈|126 次阅读|0 个评论
[转载][zz] Feature descriptor comparison report
Minuskid 2011-10-18 18:29
一个非常棒的各种descriptor的 评测 。全文转载如下:(美中不足的没有特征匹配的评测)(一句话总结,综合考虑速度和性能,ORB是最好的。) Introduction For this test i have written special test framework, which allows me to easily add the new kind of descriptors and test cases and generate report data in CSV-like format. Than i upload it in Google docs and create this awesome charts. Five quality and one performance test was done for each kind of descriptor. Test cases Rotation test - this test shows how the feature descriptor depends on feature orientation. Scaling test - this test shows how the feature descriptor depends on feature size. Blur test - this test shows how the feature descriptor is robust against blur. Lighting test - this test shows how the feature descriptor is robust against lighting. Pattern detection test – this test performs detection of planar object (image) on the real video. In contrast to the synthetic tests, this test gives a real picture of the overall stability of the particular descriptor. Performance test is a measurement of description extraction time. All quality tests works in similar way. Using a given source image we generate a synthetic test data: transformed images corresponding feature points. The transformation algorithm depends on the particular test. For the rotation test case, it’s the rotation of the source image around it’s center for 360 degrees, for scaling – it’s resizing of image from 0.25X to 2x size of original. Blur test uses gaussian blur with several steps and the lighting test changes the overall picture brightness. The pattern detection test deserves a special attention. This test is done on very complex and noisy video sequence . So it’s challenging task for any feature descriptor algorithm to demonstrate a good results in this test. The metric for all quality tests is the percent of correct matches between the source image and the transformed one. Since we use planar object, we can easily select the inliers from all matches using the homography estimation. I use OpenCV ’s function cvFindHomography for this. This metric gives very good and stable results. I do no outlier detection of matches before homography estimation because this will affect the results in unexpected way. The matching of descriptors is done via brute-force matching from the OpenCV . Rotation test In this test i obtain pretty expectable results, because all descriptors are rotation invariant expect the BRIEF . Slight changes in stability can be explained by the feature orientation calculation algorithm and descriptor nature. A detailed study of why the descriptor behaves exactly as it is, takes time and effort. It’s a topic for another article. Maybe later on…. Scaling test SURF and SIFT descriptors demonstrate us very good stability in this test because they do expensive keypoint size calculation. Other descriptors uses fixed-size descriptor and you can see what it leads to. Currently for LAZY descriptor i do not have separate LAZY feature detector (i use ORB detector for tests) but I’m thinking on lightweight feature detector with feature size calculation, because it’s a must-have feature. Actually, scale invariance is much more important rather than precise orientation calculation. Blur test In this test i tried to simulate the motion blur which can occurs if camera moves suddenly. All descriptors demonstrate good results in this test. By “good” I mean that the more blur size is applied the less percent of correct matches is obtained. Which is expected behavior. Lighting test In lighting test the transformed images differs only in overall image brightness. All kinds of descriptors works well in this case. The major reason is that all descriptors extracted normalized, e.g the norm_2 of the descriptor vector equals 1. This normalization makes descriptor invariant to brightness changes. Pattern detection on real video Detection of the object on real video is the most complex task since ground truth contains rotation, scaling and motion blur. Also other objects are also present. And finally, it’s not HD quality. These conditions are dictated by the actual conditions of application of computer vision. As you can see on diagram, the SIFT and SURF descriptors gives the best results, nevertheless they are far away from ideal, it’s quite enough for such challenging video. Unfortunately, scale-covariant descriptors show very bad results in this test because pattern image appears in 1:1 scale only at the beginning of the video (The “spike” near frame 20). On the rest of the video sequence target object moves from the camera back and scale-covariant descriptors can’t handle this situation. Performance summary This chart shows the extraction time for N features. I made Y-axis as logarithm scale to make it more readable. For all descriptor extraction algorithm the extraction time depends on number of features linearly. Local spikes is probably caused by some vector resizing or L2 cache misses. This performance test was done on Mac Book Pro 2.2 with Core 2 Duo 2.13 Ghz. Further works Add new quality test cases. One additional test i know for sure – affine transformations. Your ideas for other tests are welcome! Add new kind of descriptors. Definitely will add an A-SIFT implementation. Create an LAZY detector with feature size and orientation estimation. Improve the LAZY descriptor extraction procedure. Expect at least 20% performance gain. Generate matching video for each test to demonstrate the behavior of each descriptor algorithm.
3969 次阅读|0 个评论
[转载]Feature descriptor comparison report
shixuanlv305 2011-10-9 13:11
转自: http://www.cvchina.info/2011/10/08/zz-feature-descriptor-comparison-report/ 一个非常棒的各种descriptor的 评测 。全文转载如下:(美中不足的没有特征匹配的评测) (一句话总结,综合考虑速度和性能,ORB是最好的。) Introduction For this test i have written special test framework, which allows me to easily add the new kind of descriptors and test cases and generate report data in CSV-like format. Than i upload it in Google docs and create this awesome charts. Five quality and one performance test was done for each kind of descriptor. Test cases Rotation test - this test shows how the feature descriptor depends on feature orientation. Scaling test - this test shows how the feature descriptor depends on feature size. Blur test - this test shows how the feature descriptor is robust against blur. Lighting test - this test shows how the feature descriptor is robust against lighting. Pattern detection test – this test performs detection of planar object (image) on the real video. In contrast to the synthetic tests, this test gives a real picture of the overall stability of the particular descriptor. Performance test is a measurement of description extraction time. All quality tests works in similar way. Using a given source image we generate a synthetic test data: transformed images corresponding feature points. The transformation algorithm depends on the particular test. For the rotation test case, it’s the rotation of the source image around it’s center for 360 degrees, for scaling – it’s resizing of image from 0.25X to 2x size of original. Blur test uses gaussian blur with several steps and the lighting test changes the overall picture brightness. The pattern detection test deserves a special attention. This test is done on very complex and noisy video sequence . So it’s challenging task for any feature descriptor algorithm to demonstrate a good results in this test. The metric for all quality tests is the percent of correct matches between the source image and the transformed one. Since we use planar object, we can easily select the inliers from all matches using the homography estimation. I use OpenCV ’s function cvFindHomography for this. This metric gives very good and stable results. I do no outlier detection of matches before homography estimation because this will affect the results in unexpected way. The matching of descriptors is done via brute-force matching from the OpenCV . Rotation test In this test i obtain pretty expectable results, because all descriptors are rotation invariant expect the BRIEF . Slight changes in stability can be explained by the feature orientation calculation algorithm and descriptor nature. A detailed study of why the descriptor behaves exactly as it is, takes time and effort. It’s a topic for another article. Maybe later on…. Scaling test SURF and SIFT descriptors demonstrate us very good stability in this test because they do expensive keypoint size calculation. Other descriptors uses fixed-size descriptor and you can see what it leads to. Currently for LAZY descriptor i do not have separate LAZY feature detector (i use ORB detector for tests) but I’m thinking on lightweight feature detector with feature size calculation, because it’s a must-have feature. Actually, scale invariance is much more important rather than precise orientation calculation. Blur test In this test i tried to simulate the motion blur which can occurs if camera moves suddenly. All descriptors demonstrate good results in this test. By “good” I mean that the more blur size is applied the less percent of correct matches is obtained. Which is expected behavior. Lighting test In lighting test the transformed images differs only in overall image brightness. All kinds of descriptors works well in this case. The major reason is that all descriptors extracted normalized, e.g the norm_2 of the descriptor vector equals 1. This normalization makes descriptor invariant to brightness changes. Pattern detection on real video Detection of the object on real video is the most complex task since ground truth contains rotation, scaling and motion blur. Also other objects are also present. And finally, it’s not HD quality. These conditions are dictated by the actual conditions of application of computer vision. As you can see on diagram, the SIFT and SURF descriptors gives the best results, nevertheless they are far away from ideal, it’s quite enough for such challenging video. Unfortunately, scale-covariant descriptors show very bad results in this test because pattern image appears in 1:1 scale only at the beginning of the video (The “spike” near frame 20). On the rest of the video sequence target object moves from the camera back and scale-covariant descriptors can’t handle this situation. Performance summary This chart shows the extraction time for N features. I made Y-axis as logarithm scale to make it more readable. For all descriptor extraction algorithm the extraction time depends on number of features linearly. Local spikes is probably caused by some vector resizing or L2 cache misses. This performance test was done on Mac Book Pro 2.2 with Core 2 Duo 2.13 Ghz. Further works Add new quality test cases. One additional test i know for sure – affine transformations. Your ideas for other tests are welcome! Add new kind of descriptors. Definitely will add an A-SIFT implementation. Create an LAZY detector with feature size and orientation estimation. Improve the LAZY descriptor extraction procedure. Expect at least 20% performance gain. Generate matching video for each test to demonstrate the behavior of each descriptor algorithm. 分类: 新闻 标签: BRIEF , feature decriptor , LAZY , opencv , orb , RIFF , SIFF , surf , 描述子
个人分类: 计算机视觉资料|2908 次阅读|0 个评论
写好科研报告的几条“圣经”
minnongda 2011-9-9 06:22
写好科研报告的几条“圣经”
对于研究生无论是做论文还是今后到公司从事研发活动,成果的主要体现形式就是Scientific Report (科研报告)。科研报告的重要性不言而喻。那么怎么才能写出比较readable的研究报告呢? 下面的几点总结或许有用。一般的报告都有如下几个部分组成,我们一一道来。 1. Title of report, name of authors (略) 2. Abstract The abstract should be very short Explain in a few sentences what you did in glance, the most important thing is what do you learn or what new konwledge do you get from this research? 3. Introduction In the introduction you describe the present knowledge You explain what you are going to investigate to obtain new knowledge 4. Materials and Methods. Describe the materials (source, etc) Describe the methods (equipments, procedures etc.) Often you can refer to the literature, so you do not have to describe the method in detail. Only exceptions or new methods are montioned. 5. Results and Discussion This is the most important part of the report!! Results can be compiled in figures and tables But, ... always start with text describing your findings and subsequently refer to the figures and tables Calculations are not given in this part You should ask yourself the following questions? Did you expect these findings? Can you explain your findings? If something went wrong, is there and explanations? Is the result from analysis A consistant with the results from analysis B? Try to make links between results!!! 6. Reference and Annex References Refer to scientific literature. It is not a good practice to cite the literature from one or few research groups a lot!! (including yourself papers) Annex Contains large papers like chromatograms, spectra, calucations, etc, 上面只是总结了写好基本报告的几个要点,对于初学的菜鸟还是非常有效的,尤其是化学、生命科学的研究生同学。要写出一篇佳作来,还需要长时间的摸索,学习和实践。 Wageningen university and research center
个人分类: 橙色时光|2655 次阅读|0 个评论
Cell 出版集团也创办了箩筐期刊Cell reports
热度 4 DNAgene 2011-8-19 10:26
PLoS集团成功地办了PLoS Biology、PLoS Medicine等期刊之后,办了一个普及版期刊,PLoS ONE。我称之为普及版期刊就是区别于该集团的高端期刊,普及版期刊涉及领域广、对论文要求低,同一集团高端期刊退稿的论文一般都会建议投往此普及刊。 在开放获取模式成功的另一出版集团BioMed Central也办了类似普及版或者说箩筐刊,BMC Research Notes。鉴于BioMed Central的期刊期刊普遍比PLoS的差一些,BMC Research Notes也就比PLoS one影响小多了。 由于PLoS ONE在稿件数量、影响力和盈利等方面的成功,Nature出版集团看中了类似商机,先是办了一个Nature communications,后来可能感觉不够普及,又模仿严格PLoS ONE,办了一个Scientific Reports。此刊多方面与PLoS ONE一致。 Cell出版集团(Elsevier的子集团)成功发行了多种生物学期刊,影响力都居生物学各分支学科前列。前天,此集团宣布创办一种开放获取期刊,Cell Reports。也是生物学各个学科无所不包,也是欢迎其他Cell期刊退稿的论文投给他们。 这么多新期刊,都给人以箩筐的感觉。当然了,各学科独立的低影响期刊也是箩筐,也是整天接收别人退稿的论文。 声明一下,箩筐期刊并不是贬义词,喜欢PLoS ONE的网友别误解了。 箩筐不箩筐没关系,里面装的东西好坏才是关键。 这就像招生一样,不要北大清华的落榜生,怕被称为箩筐。但勉强刚不够北大、清华的考生,到了其他学校,也都是高分(这里不讨论分数与素质的差别,招了低分考生也不一定就是找到了高素质)。听说,北京有两所院校心态较好,专门接收北大清华的落榜生,效果不错。 http://www.cell.com/cell-reports/home 其他几种期刊的网址感兴趣的网友自己google一下。
24672 次阅读|9 个评论
原来饶毅老师是搞“凶杀、色情和暴力”的!
热度 7 Ripal 2011-8-15 18:01
早就认识了了施一公和饶毅。 一公是研究细胞膜蛋白的。但是一直不知道饶毅在搞什么! 今天,看完饶老师的一个report,才豁然开朗。 原来饶毅老师是搞“凶杀、色情和暴力”的! 真的很有意思!这就是我们小辈中的牛人。我要想去饶老师的“hollywood”,就算当个跑龙套的也可以,说不准也会成为“周星驰”!
2686 次阅读|17 个评论
[转载]推荐:PSU工学院指导学生科技写作(包括报告,Poster等)的网站
NREnergy 2011-1-17 07:24
详见网站,有非常多对研究生有用的资源,欢迎转载和分享。 http://www.writing.engr.psu.edu/ Writing Guidelines for Engineering and Science Students Student Resources: Writing Exercises Slides: Scientific Writing Slides: Scientific Presentations Instructor Resources: Slides: Technical Writing Slides: Technical Presentations Instructor Handouts Teaching Slide Design Editor: Penn State, Leonhard Center Contributors: Penn State Georgia Tech University of Illinois University of Texas Virginia Tech Film: These guidelines for engineering writing and scientific writing are designed to help students communicate their technical work. To that end, these guidelines contain advice, models, and exercises for common writing and speaking assignments in engineering and science. Introduction Assessing the Audience Selecting the Format Crafting the Style Presentations Design of Presentation Slides Design of Scientific Posters Correspondence Memo Format: html or pdf Sample Memo: html, or pdf Letter Format: html, or pdf Sample Letter: html, or pdf E-mail Format Résumés Formal Reports Laboratory Reports Design Reports Progress Reports Theses and Dissertations Other Documents Proposals Instructions Journal Articles Conclusion Appendix A: Sample Format Appendix B: Documenting Sources Glossary References Acknowledgments Originated: 09/1997 Last updated: 11/2010 http://writing.engr.psu.edu/ All materials at this web site are the intellectual property of the editors and authors. You are welcome to make hypertext links to any of the pages at this site as long as you give proper credit. Please direct comments, suggestions, or questions to the lead editor: Michael Alley, Penn State.
个人分类: 教育为本|3716 次阅读|0 个评论
Report on Dr XU Peng
xupenghust 2010-9-20 17:08
TPR Group reported Dr XU Peng's research progress. http://serve.me.nus.edu.sg/arun/news_Collaborator.htm
个人分类: 个人相关|3283 次阅读|0 个评论
dataet of Bug report (eclipse, about 210000)
热度 3 windkingwdq 2010-6-7 11:22
从别人那里下载的eclipse的bug report, xml格式。 另外还有freebsd-gnats-20090913,gnome_bugzilla.xml 需要的人可以联系我。 论文使用请注意引用别人的成果。
个人分类: 未分类|3012 次阅读|1 个评论
[转载]Thomson Reuters:全球研究报告(中国 2009)New Global Research Report released
xupeiyang 2010-1-27 11:08
Thomson Reuters: New Global Research Report(China 2009) 原文见: 中国科研绩效分析报告 (中国 2009)
个人分类: 科技评价|1858 次阅读|0 个评论
[转载]Thomson Reuters:全球研究报告(俄罗斯 2010)New Global Research Report released 2010年1月
xupeiyang 2010-1-27 08:21
New study reveals Russia's struggle to retain last-centuryprominence in scientific research Thank you for your interest in the Global Research Reports from Thomson Reuters and Evidence. Per your request, we are writing to inform you that a new reporthas just been released . This latest report, The New Geography of Science: Research and Collaboration in Russia , found that after reaching a peak in 1994 of just over 29,000 papers, output in Russia declined over the next decade to reach a low of 22,000 in 2006. To learn more about the changing landscape and dynamics of scientific research in Russia, download the new report here . To view all reports in this series please visit ourGlobal Research Reports website .
个人分类: 科技评价|1792 次阅读|0 个评论
中国“被报告”
热度 1 等离子体科学 2010-1-23 21:13
不知为什么有些国人比较迷信兰德公司 ( Rand Corporation )。 所以就有人喜欢编造兰德报告行骗。而上当者不在少数。 90 年代有要在台海危机中出动航母编队打击中国的所谓兰德报告。笔者曾批驳过。后来 《 Dire Strait? 》 出版,谣言不攻自破。 最近又有一份关于中国的 兰德报告在网上被一再转载 。这 次 Rand 反应比较快,已经在其网站上声明:( http://www.rand.org/hot_topics/china/ ) A report on the Web site dwnews.com incorrectly attributes negative comments about the Chinese people and Chinese traditions to a report about the Chinese economy allegedly prepared by the RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy. No such comments exist in any report prepared by RAND researchers and comments in the article do not accurately represent the views of RAND scholars. Part of the dwnews.com article appears to be based on testimony given in 2005 that can be found here: http://www.rand.org/ pubs/testimonies/CT244/ . We have asked the Web site to correct its error. 这个假兰德报告中的第一段及第二段的前几句基本还是来自上面 News Advisory 中提到的 2005 年 5 月 William H. Overholt 在 U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission 的证言( Testimony ) : : 如果 20 世纪的中国是一个富裕和统一的国家,我们会有一个完全不同的第一次世界大战,我们就不会有第二次世界大战而是第二次欧洲大战。中国 能够阻止日本侵略或者打败日本。美国在这些冲突上的花费从根本意义上会减少很多,因为珍珠港事件不会发生。我们和整个世界,更不用说 10 亿中国人,一个多世纪以来,已经为中国的弱小付出了惨重的代价。世界需要一个健康的中国。 中国的需求对日本走出衰退起到了促进作用。日本状况给世界经济带来了风险。关于这一点,怎么说都不夸张。日本巨额的债务会产生多米诺骨牌效应,逐渐波及到全世界。在中国有力的帮助下,危险似乎已经过去。 第三段则被翻译得很糟糕。原文: A more serious policy problem is hyper-competition created by cheap financing in China. The irrationalities of the Chinese financial system mean that in key sectors like steel China builds too many factories, and props up too many moribund companies, causing massive overcapacity. In recent years Chinese financial vagaries have led to excessive construction and huge demand for steel, aluminum, cement and others. For a while this has buoyed the global steel industry, including ours. But it has also led to construction of so many steel factories in China that soon China will have half of all world capacity. That means overproduction and eventually a steel price bust. 被翻译成: 中国金融体系的不合理意味著中国建造了垂死企业,导致巨大的生产力过剩。近些年来,中国财政政策上的反复无常导致过度建造,对铁、铝、水泥 和其他原材料产生了巨大的需求。日本人和现在的中国人看上去似乎会买下世界上所有的东西,但是当你看到他们的财政状况的潜在问题时,你会发现一个黑洞。日 本人在 90 年代陷入了这样一个黑洞,至今还在努力地爬出来。中国人很多年后仍将会为目前这种无节制的狂热的购买行为感到心痛。 第四段把: In the medium term China faces daunting challenges. Its banks are the worst in the world that we know about. In each generation a population about the size of the United States will move from Chinas countryside to its cities. Each year 12-13 million new workers join the work force. The impact of productivity on employment in manufacturing is much more severe than in our country. All these people need jobs. For a considerable period Chinas high growth can be sustained, but only through heroic reform measures by Chinas leaders. If somehow China powers through these problems, by 2020 its aging population will have the worst ratio of workers to non-workers of any population in the world, including Japans. That is to say, without some miraculous new policies the Chinese economy may well hit a wall in that period. In 2020, they will still be a very poor country by our standards. Even if their success continues until then, they will not be taking over the world. 翻译成: 目前,中国面临著巨大的挑战。中国的银行是我们所知道的世界上最糟糕的银行。中国每一代,都有相当于美国规模的人口从农村涌入城市。每年,都有 1200-1300 万新工人加入就业大军。在制造业,生产力对就业的影响比我们国家要严重得多。到 2020 年,中国人口老龄化会使工作人口与不工作人口的比率成为世界上最糟糕的,比日本更甚。如果没有特效的新政策的话,中国的经济在那个时期就会狠狠地撞墙。到 2020 年,以我们的标准来看,它会是一个非常穷的国家。 尽管做了很多手脚,比如 well 被翻译成狠狠地、 will still be 被翻译成会是,但基本上还算得上是翻译。 可是后面大量对中国人民、中国传统非常负面(甚至恶毒)的描述内容则完全是无中生有。(或者可能是移花接木?但是笔者目前没有找到出处。)时间也从 2005 年乾坤大挪移到 2009 年。 分析一下花了这么多心思编造这样一份兰德报告的人的心理,应该是一件很有趣的事情。 David A. Shlapak, David T. Orletsky, and Barry A. Wilson: Dire Strait? Military Aspects of the China-Taiwan Confrontation and Options for U.S. Policy, RAND, 2000 ( http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/2007/MR1217.pdf ) 匿名:《中国现状分析报告》兰德公司亚太政策中心 (比如可以在这里找到: http://www.oursteps.com.au/ss/?action-viewthread-tid-169777 ) William H. Overholt, China and Globalization, Testimony present to U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, May 19, 2005 ( http://www.rand.org/pubs/testimonies/2005/RAND_CT244.pdf )
个人分类: 假语村言|6307 次阅读|1 个评论
北京房山激光站观测到COMPASS-M1卫星
jlpemail 2009-5-5 20:25
依据国际激光测距网的消息(电子邮件NO.10836) 发件人: slreport@dgfi3.dgfi.badw-muenchen.de 主 题: No.10836 : COMPASS-M1 Weekly Tracking Report 时 间: Mon, 4 May 2009 14:15:14 +0200 至此,全球40多个激光测距站中,已经有18个站观测到我国发射的这颗 安置了激光测距合作目标的导航卫星.
个人分类: 消息场|3896 次阅读|0 个评论

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