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请规定重要研究成果“一稿必须两投”!
热度 27 Talky 2017-1-6 14:32
刚才网友评论说 西方环境好,学者们都不需要做雾霾方面的研究;我们国内研究人员没有能力做研究,只能到处瞎摸,啥也做不出来,到现在连雾霾的成因和简单的雾霾的成份都还搞不清楚。 我回复介绍了美国有 “IMPROVE” 大型研究项目( InteragencyMonitoringofProtectedVisualEnvironments ), 从事 PM2.5 和能见度关系的研究,可以在网上搜到,例如 http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/improve/ 。也在全国布点采样监测再分析,也有 “ 源解析 ” ,因为侧重能见度,结果是,尽管美国烧煤少,硫酸盐贡献的比例还是相当高。不过他们是为了自然保护区做的研究,测得的 PM2.5 浓度很低。 但我觉得第二点重要:我们 2011 年下半年以来研究重霾污染的项目也很多了,国内外发表的文章有几百篇了,看不过来。学界对雾霾的成因和成份的意见正在趋于一致。主要问题是,发表较好的文章大都是英文期刊上的,国内很难看见也难懂。 所以呼吁:国家项目应当规定:如果成果向国际上投稿,应当要求一稿必须两投:国际国内英文中文各一篇,但成果只按一篇算。否则不给结题!对国外出版社说明白这个规定,应当可以获得谅解吧?
个人分类: 灰霾|5726 次阅读|43 个评论
雾霾研究重要新动向,主流看法将会发生变化!
热度 29 Talky 2013-12-11 11:04
雾霾研究重要新动向,主流看法将会发生变化! 雾霾对于大气环境的危害主要是两个方面:能见度和人体健康。 目前大家重视的是雾霾的根源 -PM2.5 的组分和来源,以便弄清其来源和对人体健康的危害。当然也关心大范围雾霾污染的成因,如这次华中华东地区的雾霾污染。 但关于雾霾对能见度影响的研究正在出现新动向。目前是厦门、南京和广州的研究走在了前面。北京和上海的研究工作可能正在进行之中。 这方面的研究成果将引导认识到一个新阶段,主流意见可能将发生变化! 他们的研究应用了美国 IMPROVE 项目的分析技术,成果表明, PM2.5 中对能见度损害起主要贡献的,是硫酸盐! 展示几张图片供参考: 1 、厦门,引自: Fuwang Zhang, Lingling Xu, Jinsheng Chen, Yanke Yu, Zhenchuan Niu, Liqian Yin Chemical compositions and extinction coefficients of PM2.5 in peri-urban of Xiamen, China, during June 2009–May 2010 Atmospheric Research 106 (2012) 150 – 158 图 3 中可见,研究时段内( 2009 年 6 月 ~2010 年 5 月),有机物组分对消光系数的贡献最大,硫酸盐的贡献大大超过硝酸盐。 2 、南京,引自: Guofeng Shen, Miao Xue, Siyu Yuan, Jie Zhang, Qiuyue Zhao, Bing Li, Haisuo Wu, Aijun Ding Chemical compositions and reconstructed light extinction coefficients of particulate matter in a mega-city in the western Yangtze River Delta, China Atmospheric Environment 83 (2014) 14-20 (注: 2014 年出版的国际刊物已经在网上可以查到)  3 、广州,引自: Jun Tao, Leiming Zhang, Kinfai Ho, Renjian Zhang, Zejian Lin, Zhisheng Zhang, Mang Lin, Junji Cao, Suixing Liu, Gehui Wange Impact of PM2.5 chemical compositions on aerosol light scattering in Guangzhou — the largest megacity in South China Atmospheric Research 135–136 (2014) 48–58 (也是一篇 2014 年要发表的文章!) 气溶胶组分比例,红色为无机盐,包括硫酸盐、硝酸盐和海盐 各组分对消光系数贡献比例, CM 为碳物质, OM 有机物, FS为土壤细颗粒 , SS 为海盐, 4、美国IMPROVE研究项目 再展示一张美国研究计划“ IMPROVE ~ Interagency Monitoring of PROtected Visual Environments ”第五次报告( 2011 年)中的一张图,是东部美国城市网络( CSN ) PM2.5 各主要组分对能见度影响的贡献, 2005-2008 个月平均情况。黄色代表 AS~ 硫酸铵,红色代表 AN~ 硝酸铵,绿色代表 POM 是有机物气溶胶,黑色代表 LAC~ 光吸收碳,灰色代表土壤 ~Soil ,蓝色代表海盐 Sea salt 。可见:在东部美国, PM2.5 损害能见度的主要是硫酸盐、硝酸盐、有机气溶胶和光吸收碳。全年各个月份中,夏季( 6 、 7 、 8 月)硫酸盐明显贡献最大,有机气溶胶其次,硝酸盐贡献还不如光吸收碳。但其他月份,硝酸盐贡献加强,可超过有机气溶胶。但除个别城市外,还是以硫酸盐的贡献为第一位。因此整体说来,硫酸盐第一,硝酸盐和有机气溶胶并列,然后是光吸收碳粒。。。。
个人分类: 灰霾|19637 次阅读|84 个评论
[ACT-02]How to improve critical thinking?
xianglee 2012-5-24 14:28
An important part of critical thinking is being able to give reasons, whether it is to support or to criticize a certain idea. To be able to do that, one should know how to identify, analyze, and evaluate argument. What is an argument? In everyday life, people often use “argument” to mean a quarrel between people. But in logic and critical thinking, an argument is a list of statements , Monty Python said: “ An argument is a connected series of statements to establish a definite proposition. ” There are three stages to an argument: Premises , Inference , and Conclusion . To give an argument is to provide a set of premises as reasons for accepting the conclusion through a gradual inference process. Stage one: Premises One or more propositions will be necessary for the argument to continue. They must be stated explicitly. They are called the premises of the argument. They are the evidence (or reasons) for accepting the argument and its conclusions. Premises (or assertions) are often indicated by phrases such as “because”, “since”, “due to” and so on. Stage two: Inference The premises of the argument are used to obtain further propositions. This process is known as inferences. In inference, we start with one or more propositions which have been accepted. We then derive a new proposition. The propositions arrived at by inference may then be used in further inference. Inference is often denoted by phrases such as “implies that” or “therefore”. Stage three: Conclusion Finally, we arrive at the conclusion of the argument, another proposition. The conclusion is often stated as the final stage of inference. It is affirmed on the basis the original premises, and the inference from them. Conclusions are often indicated by phrases such as “Therefore”, “It follows that”, “We conclude” and so on. Type of argument There are two traditional types of argument, deductive and inductive . What is deductive argument? A deductive argument provides conclusive proof of its conclusions. If the premises are true, the conclusion must also be true. A deductive argument is either valid or invalid. Here is an example of a deductive argument: Every event has a cause ( premise ). The universe has a beginning ( premise ). All beginnings involve an event ( premise ). This implies that the beginning of the universe involved an event ( inference ). Therefore , the universe has a cause ( inference and conclusion ). What is inductive argument? An inductive argument is one in which the premises are supposed to support the conclusion in such a way that if the premises are true, it is improbable that the conclusion would be false. Thus, the conclusion follows probably from the premises and inferences. Here is an example of an inductive argument: The last ten times I’ve played poker, I’ve won money ( premise ). I’m playing poker tonight ( premise ). I’ll win money tonight ( conclusion ). In this example, even if both premises are true, it is still possible for the conclusion to be false (maybe I’ll lose money tonight, for example). Words which tend to mark an argument as inductive – and hence probabilistic rather than necessary – include “probably”, “likely”, “possibly” and “reasonably”. Deductive arguments vs. Inductive arguments It may seem that inductive arguments are weaker than deductive arguments because there must always remain the possibility of their arriving at false conclusions, but that is not entirely true. With deductive arguments, our conclusions are already contained, even if implicitly, in our premises. This means that we don’t arrive at new information. Inductive arguments, on the other hand, do provide us with new ideas and thus may expand our knowledge about the world in a way that is impossible for deductive arguments to achieve. Thus, while deductive arguments may be used mot often with mathematics, most other fields of research make extensive use of inductive arguments. References: 1. http://www.virtualschool.edu/mon/SocialConstruction/Logic.html 2. http://atheism.about.com/od/criticalthinking/a/deductivearg.htm
个人分类: Critical Thinkings|3777 次阅读|0 个评论
(6+6) ways to improve one's English
热度 4 zuojun 2010-7-30 10:35
Ok, I didn't come up with these tips myself, but I worked on them: to reduce the number from 70 to 6+6 for you, based on my own experience and common sense. If you prefer to go over the 70 ways yourself, here is the link: 70 ways to improve your English I used these six ways myself, so I know they work for me 4. Listen to MP3s . Although buying music on the internet is becoming more popular in many countries, not so many people know that you can download speech radio such as audio books (an actor reading out a novel) and speech radio. Not only is this better practice for your English than listening to English music, from sources like Scientific American, BBC and Australia's ABC Radio it is also free. 5. Listen to English music . Even listening to music while doing something else can help a little for things like getting used to the natural rhythm and tone of English speech, although the more time and attention you give to a song the more you will learn from listening to it again in the future. 29. Watch the same film or TV episode over and over again . This can not only save you money on DVDs, but will mean that you can really learn the language without having to study it. Some comedies can also get funnier the more you watch them, especially if you watch them with no subtitles and so understand a little more each time you watch it. 46. Listen to the radio news in English . You can make this easier by reading the news in English first, or even just by reading or listening to the news in your own language. 50. Learn a famous speech or poem in English by heart . Although you may never hear or get the chance to say exactly that line, having one memorable example of an English grammatical form in your head can make it much easier to learn other examples of the same grammar as you hear them. It is also something you can practice over and over without being as boring as grammatical drills. 64. Use an English-English dictionary . Trying to use a bilingual dictionary less and switching to a monolingual one can help you to stop translating in your head when you are speaking or listening, and other useful English vocabulary can come up while you are using the dictionary. Also try the next six ways, which sounds right to me 23. Have English radio on in the background while you are doing your housework . Even if you are not listening carefully, it will help you get a feel for natural English rhythm and intonation. 47. Read an English language newspaper . Freebie newspapers like Metro in London are usually the easiest to understand, followed by mid-brow titles like The Daily Express or The Daily Mail in English. Popular newspapers like The Sun are more difficult because of the idiomatic, slangy use of language and the number of jokes in the headlines and articles. 60. Find a foreign boyfriend or girlfriend . No tips on how to do this here, but everyone agrees that getting or even just looking for a date in English can be a great motivator to improve your language skills. 61. Arrange a conversation exchange . Swapping lessons and conversation with someone who wants to learn your language can be a good alternative for those who aren't looking for romance, or can sometimes lead onto dating for those who are! 65. Occasionally talk to or e-mail your friends in English . Many people find this a bit false or embarrassing, but if you think of it as a study club and set a particular time and/ or place, it is no different from studying math together. 67. Buy a speaking electronic dictionary . Although most electronic dictionaries are not as good as paper ones for the amount of information they give you about each word, some of them have the very useful function of saying the word with the correct pronunciation.
个人分类: Scientific Writing|3749 次阅读|4 个评论

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