七个意大利地震学者，不能正确预报地震、传递了错误的信息，造成人员和财产的重大损失。被告上法庭并认为有过失杀人罪。不能预测近期地震，是现在的科学水平。最多他们在没有把握的情况下不该散布“不会有地震”，虽有过失应该不是有意杀人吧。 可在我国，就拿我们从事工作的结构地震保护系统来说吧！对学术不精的工程师，犯下不负责任的错误就不必说了。可有多少“学者”、“工程师”、“商人 ” 、“领导”明知有问题，却为了金钱，利益冲天把一些假冒伪劣产品安置在汶川地震区可怜孩子的校舍、安置在首都学校、医院重要的加固工程上、安置在生命线的桥梁工程上。他们完全不顾人民的死活，有没有罪？ 要是十年前，我没有，也绝不会说这种话，那时，结构保护刚进入中国，大多数人还不了解。“不知者无罪”吗！可十年过去了，几百个结构保护装置在中国实际工程中安置；每年都有几次相关技术研讨会，上百篇论文在全国发表；特别是去年在广州大学进行了第一次阻尼器的联合测试。众所周知，在我国实用最多的阻尼器在简单的初步测试中完全破坏。可接下来的事实那？ l 在最简单的测试中密封爆开的产品，不思改进，（在这么短时间里能改善吗？）可在建设部领导的纵容下（至少是不过问），还在大量应用； l 连阻尼器的基本原理都没搞清，就“生产”出来产品骗人，当然更谈不到任何合格测试了。不要小看，他们都安置在了在我国连续垮塌的生命线的桥梁上了，知道这些情况的交通部、铁道部领导又怎么想？怎么看？ l 一些国外根本没有测试生产条件的厂家，更能利用“有利条件”参加这场骗局大合唱，这是崇洋媚外、还是盲目相信； l 一些高等学府明明没有测试的条件，也不知道该怎么测试，却昧着良心参与造假，为这些伪劣产品出示“通过测试”的证书，其中包括我国最出名的大学。 实在是惨不忍睹，我才再次出来说话。 我想问问院士们，领导们，他们会被判刑吗？ 这不是几年前访问我国的美国著名康教授的问题吗？经过 5 年了，在我国是越演越烈。 谁都明白，不来地震谁都没事，就是来地震，还不是这些教授、专家、院士、领导说了算，那还不好解释吗？谁该定罪？定谁的罪？ l 设计施工上出问题造成塌桥、死人事故的都得过且过了； l 明知问题的领导可以尽量不去管它，把问题“和谐”过去； l 把错误百出、成为国际笑料的“发明”“创制”也拿来大肆推广宣传，盖起性能低下的建筑，这么多专业领导至今也不声不响； 他们，对人民有罪吗？该不该也被推上法庭！ 可怜汶川的学生！ 可怜北京的学生！可怜工程事故中死去的无辜者！可怜我们的人民拿出钱来叫他们骗人！ 可怜的意大利地震专家，他们生错了地方，要学马可波罗长期在我们中原大地上，保准不会有事！ 这些，有人听，有人问吗！还是这句话：这是我的故乡、我读过书的高等学府！
意大利为什么起诉 地震 专家 -------------------------------------------------- 作者：嵇少丞 二周前，意大利拉奎拉市地方检察院以过失杀人罪起诉 地震 专家。起诉书上指控由地震专家组成的高危委员会在地震前 6 天举行的会议上没有向民众提出短期地震警报。据说，该官司得到当地居民的支持，居民认为，地震专家的工资和研究经费来自人民的税，却不能有效地为人民服务，犯了渎职罪和过失杀人罪。这场官司最终如何收场，我们拭目以待。 必须强调，高危委员会中的地震专家遭到起诉，并不是因为他们没能预报地震，而是因为如下事实：主震之前该地区发生一系列小地震（前震），民众中流传将发生强震的谣言，高危委员会的专家们在主震前 6 天举行的新闻发布会上说：小震已经释放了积累的地震能量，所以大震不再可能。新闻发布会后6天即2009年4月6日 发生了6.3级强震。拉奎拉市地方检察院认为，高危委员会的小震已经释放了积累的地震能量，所以大震不再可能（预报不地震）的结论是没有科学根据的，这样毫无科学基础的结论麻痹了民众，误导了民众。所以，从这层意义上说，意大利拉奎拉市地方检察院起诉 地震 专家还是合情合理的。支持更多国家的民众起诉毫无科学根据 预报不地震的地震专家( http://www.56.com/flashApp/56.10.05.05.swf?vid=50749197 ) ！ 2009 年 4 月 6 日 欧洲中部夏令时间 凌晨 3 时 32 分在 意大利 中部地区一场 6.3级 地震 。地震震中位于 阿布鲁佐大区 首府 拉奎拉 ，距离 罗马 95 公里 。震源深度为 10 公里，地震持续了 15 到 20 秒。该场地震造成大量房屋倒埸，并至少造成 290 人死亡， 1500 人受伤， 另有数以万计的人无家可归。很多历史性的建筑也遭到了破坏。估计需要大约 160 亿美元的资金重建遭到地震重创的地区。 意大利拉奎拉市地方检察院以过失杀人罪起诉地震专家，将开历史先河（中国是否会跟进？)。意大利地震和地质专家 Daniela Pantosti ， Alberto Michelini ， Alessandro Amato ， Massimo Cocco ， Ingrid Hunstad ， Warner Marzocchi ， Claudio Chiarabba ， Massimiliano Stucchi 在网上联合呼吁世界各国科学家支持他们，反对拉奎拉市地方检察院的指控。现有4000多名学者在给意大利总统的公开信上签了名。有兴趣的读者可以登录如下网址： www.mi.ingv.it/open_letter/ . Subject: Letter of support for Italian earthquake scientists indicted for failing to predict the L'Aquila Earthquake Dear colleagues and friends, Two weeks ago the LAquila Prosecutors office indicted of manslaughter the members of the National High Risk Committee that met in L'Aquila one week before the Mw6.3 earthquake. The charges are for failing to provide a short term alarm to the population before the earthquake struck, killing more than 300 people. The president of INGV, Enzo Boschi (member of the High Risk Committee), and the director of the National Earthquake Center, Giulio Selvaggi (just accompanying Boschi to the meeting as technical specialist), are among the scientists in seismology and earthquake engineeringnow under investigation together with somecivil protection officials. We think that the allegations against the scientists are completely unfounded and we look for support on this from the international scientific community working on earthquakes and in the Earth sciences in general. We invite you to sign the letter addressed to the President of the Italian Republic, published at the the web page www.mi.ingv.it/open_letter/ . We also would be glad if you could extend this invitation to other seismologists that can possibly share our initiative. We hope that by this action we can increase the awareness of people on earthquake risk reduction through education, preparedness, and a long term program of building reinforcement. Thank you in advance for your support Daniela Pantosti Alberto Michelini Alessandro Amato Massimo Cocco Ingrid Hunstad Warner Marzocchi Claudio Chiarabba Massimiliano Stucchi Open letter to the President of the Republic of Italy Two weeks ago in Italy, the LAquila Prosecutors office indicted scientists, some of them members of the Commissione Grandi Rischi (Commission for High Risks), and civil protection officials for manslaughter. The basis for the indictment is that these people did not provide a short-term alarm to the population after a meeting of the Commission held in LAquila six days before the Mw 6.3 earthquake that struck that city and the surrounding area. The allegations against the scientists are completely unfounded. Years of research worldwide have shown that there is currently no scientifically accepted method for short-term earthquake prediction that can reliably be used by Civil Protection authorities for rapid and effective emergency actions. The international seismological community has long recognized that the best approach to defending populations from catastrophic earthquakes is not through earthquake prediction, but through risk mitigation and the application of appropriate safety measures to prevent buildings from collapsing. In this regard, the development of seismic hazard maps, which provide estimates of the probability of occurrence of predefined values of peak ground motion in a given time period, provide the specifications required by building codes to avoid collapse of buildings and the resulting fatalities Italy is an earthquake-prone country. An improved seismic hazard map that summarizes decades of research on earthquake occurrence and effects was completed in 2004 (see http://zonesismiche.mi.ingv.it/ ). It is the result of the work of many scientists, it is considered to be one of the best seismic hazard maps in Europe, and it has been used as a basis for the Italian building code beginning in 2008 ( Norme Tecniche per le Costruzioni, GU n.29 del 04/02/2008 ). It should be viewed as the primary contribution of the Italian earthquake scientists to their Country. Seismic hazard maps must also be used for conveying to the population the basic concepts of earthquake hazard, awareness, preparedness, and response. Increased consciousness of the earthquake hazard and associated risk should also foster further prevention actions by national and local authorities. Overall, earthquake preparedness and damage prevention in the form of retrofitting are not only possible but mandatory in a country affected for the most by moderate size earthquakes that often result in catastrophes for the society because of the large percentage of seismically unreinforced buildings. Education, awareness, preparedness and retrofitting are the best tools for mitigating the impact of the catastrophic earthquakes that will inevitably affect Italy in the future. The scientific community involved in earthquake science urges the Italian government, local authorities and decision makers in general, to be proactive in establishing and carrying out local and national programs to support earthquake preparedness and risk mitigation rather than prosecuting scientists for failing to do something they cannot do yet - predict earthquakes.
标签: 地震专家
