奥运眼下如火如荼,茶余饭后码字间隙的最大话题非它莫属。中国游泳军团的崛起让人振奋,同时也带来了巨大争议。16岁萌妹小叶最后开挂般的冲刺让西方国际友人惊掉了眼镜,同时也带上有色眼镜。一时间Dope和Drug成为粘在他们嘴边的字眼,尽管IOC和WADA发表小叶Clear的声明,仍巴拉巴拉个不停,无非就是说小叶服用了目前监测不出来的药物。自然科学界大佬《Nature》按耐不住站出来支招了,今天(2012.08.03)online发表《Why great Olympic feats raise suspicions》一文,其核心内容就是讲Performance profiling这种方法could help to dispel doubts。文章开头提到小叶的表现引起巨大争议,X专家提出赛前一段时间服药可以提高竞技水平,但赛后的尿检仍可为阴性,于是XX专家提出根据项目的年龄分门别类逐一建立运动员数据库,把平时训练和比赛时的成绩记录在案,再建立统计学模型,根据以往的成绩和人类生理极限,从而判断是否服药。 以下是原文:to create databases that — sport by sport and event by event — record how athletes improve with age and experience. Longitudinal records of athletes’ performances would then be fed into statistical models to determine the likelihood that they ran or swam too fast, given their past results and the limits of human physiology。具体怎么操作不知道,我想大概或许maybe就是如果最后模型给出P0.05,你丫就认倒霉吧。本人认为Nature上这篇文字并不科学,无非就是提出一个设想,没有Data支持的设想还是投《Medical hypothesis》吧!尽管以NEWS explainer 形式刊登。好戏在后头,华人圈的大BOSS、小虾米们纷纷在Nature网站留言反驳,刚开始还比较文明和理智: 1.It is shame on Nature to publish such low quality article. It only shows Nature is no longer one of top Journals. 2. If you can not take any evidence to proof your comment, you should apologize. The paper is bias!! 3.Obviously, there is no Science in Nature. 后来就开始攻击杂志和作者了: 4.NATURE: international weekly journal of jokes. 5..I can understand why you are this shallow as you only have a master degree. 我现在明白为何作者仅仅拿到硕士学位了。。。。。。。这招太狠了,这是谢耳朵的留言吗,哈哈 更搞的在后面:Demon Editor, I represent the Moon I destroy you. 我代表月亮消灭你。。。。。消灭你。。。消灭。。。你。。。 再后来nature关闭了评论,editor说了sorry: The comments below are a sample of the outrage with which this news story was greeted. We are sorry that it has offended so many readers, but we stand by the piece. We strongly reject suggestions that it was motivated by bias or racism; our intention was to investigate the science behind a controversy arising from the current Olympic Games. The first paragraph states that Ye has never had a positive drug test and notes that much of the discussion of her win “has been tinged with racial and political undertones”. We are no longer accepting comments on this news story, and because of the volume of comments, some early posts have disappeared. We intentionally deleted only those posts that violated our Community Guidelines 中国研究生立功了!前两年把BBRC水的一塌糊涂,现在又靠这招冲垮了老牌牛逼杂志!!